![]() And yet he fails to learn from those instances of missed predictions because instead he just shrugs and says, ‘Well, the world didn’t behave the way it should have.'” “He’s interacted with non-Vulcans before, and so presumably he’s had lots of opportunities to see that, actually, lots of people don’t behave the way he thinks they-rationally -should behave. Spock’s biggest weakness is his failure to understand that other people don’t always behave “logically.” He also makes no attempt to update his approach, even when his mistakes get his crewmates killed. ![]() “The more confident he says he is that something will happen-that the ship will crash, or that they will find survivors-the less likely it is to happen, and the less confident he is in something, the more likely it is to happen,” Galef says. Not only does Spock have a terrible track record-events he describes as “impossible” happen 83 percent of the time-but his confidence level is actually anti-correlated with reality. ![]() The results, which appear in Galef’s new book The Scout Mindset, are devastating. “I catalogued all instances in which Spock made a prediction and that prediction either came true or didn’t.” “I went through all of the Star Trek episodes and movies-all of the transcripts that I could find-and searched for any instance in which Spock is using the words ‘odds,’ ‘probability,’ ‘chance,’ ‘definitely,’ ‘probably,’ etc.,” she says. Galef was curious to see exactly how often these predictions pan out. Galef’s activities as a writer, podcaster and president of the Center for Applied Rationality are mentioned by The Atlantic, The Verge, and NPR.Īs of December 11, 2023, Julia has a net worth approximately $5 Million.In the franchise, Spock makes confident predictions based on his superior Vulcan mind. Since April 2015 she has been the sole host of the Rationally Speaking podcast. Galef began writing the blog Measure of Doubt in 2011 with her brother, as well as writing for Religion Dispatches and Scientific American. Galef frequently addresses rationality, and she moderates debates during skeptic gatherings. She has given public talks to various organizations, including The Center for Inquiry and the Secular Student Alliance. From 2010 until 2015 she was a keynote speaker at The Northeast Conference on Science and Skepticism. ![]() The year 2009 was the time that Galef started hosting the podcast Rationally Speaking alongside scientist and philosopher Massimo Pigliucci. The first episode of the show was released on February 1st, 2010. The show has featured conversations with public intellectuals, such as Neil deGrasse Tyson, Lawrence Krauss, James Randi, and Peter Singer. The talk was covered by National Public Radio’s TED Radio Hour in November 2016. In February 2016, Galef delivered a TED talk on, “Why you think you’re right - even if you’re wrong”, encouraging critical self-skepticism and prioritizing coming to the correct viewpoint using “scout mindset” instead of working to ensure your current viewpoint is seen as correct with a “soldier mindset”. According to Galef, it can be easier to adjust internalized beliefs by framing the new evidence as a surprise. In particular her idea of keeping a “surprise journal” received attention, which is one of the techniques Galef uses to record incidents where her expectations were wrong, in order to recognize personal faulty assumptions that expose and counterweight the “bias blind spot”. Subsequent to her exposure with Big Think as an expert on the topic of rationality, she was interviewed in 2014 by Forbes, Fast Company, and The Wall Street Journal. In 2014, she wrote several articles and recorded several short videos for Big Think, some of which are part of the Big Think Mentor’s workshops. Galef introduced the idea of Straw Vulcan, originally coined by the website TV Tropes, to explain the wrong perception of rationality as a mode of thinking that ignores emotions like love and does not appreciate beauty. It is a reference to the persona Spock (a Half-Vulcan) from Star Trek, who is often portrayed as a model for the fictitious notion of rationality. Galef claims that, in light of the utter absurdity Spock has observed in humans, his inability to change his beliefs about the ability of humans to make rational choices is a sign of absurdity. In 2011 Galef delivered a talk about this topic at Skepticon. Julia Galef is one of the most popular and richest Podcaster who was born on Jin Silver Spring, United States.
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